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32: Is the crisis over?

0:21 – The macroeconomic dimensions of the current crisis (labor market, banking system)

11:02 – How is the crisis affecting P2P lending platforms?

15:07 – Will we see another mass quarantine due to the "second wave" of Covid-19?

18:17 – Current central bank policy and its implications for investors

31:45 – What is happening to stock exchanges? Why do they keep rising? Are they overvalued?

38:50 – Will the US elections have any effect on the stock markets?

43:13 – What is happening with precious metals and cryptocurrencies?

51:15 – How do state aid stimulate speculation and is the "democratization" of investing a double-edged sword?

54:30 – What happens to the properties?

62:20 – Market delays of the last few days – the "Nikola" scam and the first "sharia compliant" ETF

72:15 – What is happening with government debt in the eurozone and what are the prospects?

78:55 – Final words

 

Sources:

https://www.algebris.com/insights/silverbullet/the-anti-bubble-portfolio/

 

1. The low yield of government securities, the monetary policy of the Central Bank and the impact on institutional investors with large exposures to debt


https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2020/09/how-are-institutional-investors-ever-going-to-hit-their-return-targets/  

https://www.ft.com/content/d54227c2-3ca9-4060-a0fe-b17fb011421d  

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-12-17/negative-interest-rates-are-destroying-our-pensions  

https://www.ipe.com/pensions-in-germany-the-joys-of-negative-rates/10012506.article  

https://www.ft.com/content/d54227c2-3ca9-4060-a0fe-b17fb011421d  

Can the 60/40 Portfolio Still Work?

 

2. How overvalued are the stocks?


https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2020/08/18/us-stock-market-hits-record-77-overvalued/#7a91271b358c

https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/stock-market-rally-fed-stall-stops-levitating-markets-howard-marks-2020-6-1029342817#  

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/08/27/investing/stock-market-overvalued-deloitte-cfo/index.html

 

3. Property market


https://www.capital.bg/biznes/kompanii/2020/10/09/4124297_imotite_produljavat_da_poskupvat_vupreki_pandemiiata/  

https://money.bg/property/ne-bilo-kompyutri-a-kompoti-ne-bilo-spad-a-rast-na-pazara-na-imoti.html  

 

4. Government debt in the euro area


https://twitter.com/Schuldensuehner/status/1313501689320792064  

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-07/it-s-spain-not-italy-that-european-investors-are-worried-about?sref=61mHmpU4  

 

5. "Nikola" и sharia-compliant ETF 

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/21/business/nikola-trevor-milton-resigns.html#:~:text=Nikola%2C%20a%20G.M.-,Electric%20Truck%20Partner%2C%20Quits%20Amid%20Fraud%20Claims,assertions%20about%20his%20company's%20technology

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aaaEy8MQOd8  

https://www.ft.com/content/db6833a3-c18b-4cff-8ac6-963a35a3ec9a?fbclid=IwAR1EGDQemY3vTyQ0q8ixpYOq-VzEitQJHu2WRxC3TVZFTnMmDRUT8TTroZw

 

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About Georgi Vuldzhev

Georgi Vuldzhev is a member of the board of directors of BLO and editor-in-chief of EKIP. His articles on economic and political topics have been published by both Bulgarian and international publications such as Mises Institute, Foundation for Economic Education, European Students for Liberty, etc. He worked as an economist at the Institute for Market Economics and currently holds the position of economic analyst at CEEMarketWatch and is a weekly columnist on investment topics for the Tavex blog.

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One comment

  1. Nothing special is happening in the world of cryptocurrencies except for a 250% increase in Bitcoin after the March drop, PayPal opens up the possibility of buying crypto, large institutions announce every day that they are allocating a portfolio to BTC, JP Morgan has turned the tables and is already talking positively about crypto, but the leaders are fans of e-bonds and bills.