Macroeconomic Monitor
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recession

Is anyone still talking about a quick "V"-shaped recovery?

Do you remember when "smart heads" were roaming the television studios six months ago to comfort us? They were talking about how the crisis may be deep, but it will be short? How we will already be in recovery by the fall? How in 2021 we will fully recover to the levels of economic activity of 2019? How the trajectory of …

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Industrial production falls throughout the 3rd quarter

(Click on the infographic for a larger size) Source: NSI Comment The latest NSI data show that industrial production fell for the fourth consecutive month in September by 0.14% year-on-year. It is noticeable that the decline is slowing, so we may see some growth in October, but we doubt that this …

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23. A Guide to Navigating the Coming Crisis with Biser Manolov

0:22 – Introduction to the topics in the episode and the special guest financier Biser Manolov 01:02 – News from Bulgaria 01:53 – Why are banks in Bulgaria massively raising fees and commissions? 04:33 – Banks vs. new fintech companies like Revolut – are banks losing the battle? 06:20 – The paradoxical monetary and regulatory policy …

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EKIP in the media about the cap on cash payments and the coming recession

Media appearances in August covered the presentation of our new study against the restriction of cash payments, healthcare, is a new economic recession coming, and the accuracy of drug tests used by the traffic police. The latest economic analysis of the EKIP - "Regulations on cash payments and their effects" presents evidence that ...

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22. Innovation for real estate market analysis (with guest Georgi Demirev)

0:22 – Introduction to the topics in the episode and special guest Georgi Demirev, founder of ocenime.bg, a site for analyzing the real estate market in Bulgaria. 02:27 – Financial news from Bulgaria 13:26 – Macro and Markets 22:25 – Fintech and alternative investments 31:27 – Interview with Georgi Demirev 31:41 - …

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Industrial production and sales collapse in June

(Click on the infographic for a larger size) Data source: NSI After a serious slowdown in growth in May, the latest NSI data show that industrial production and sales completely collapsed in June. Both production and sales are reporting record levels of decline for the last 5-10 …

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Industrial sales on the local market fall for the first time since 2016

(Click on the infographic for a larger size) Data source: NSI Commentary After accelerating growth in the first two months of the year, in March there was a slowdown in both production and sales in the industrial sector. Interestingly, according to NSI data, this time there is a greater burden of …

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The global financial and economic crisis of 2008 through the eyes of the Austrian School of Economics

Author: Kristiyan Korelov It has been more than a decade since one of the largest stock market panics in the United States occurred. Credit markets had completely stopped functioning (Gorton, 2008), and the situation was very similar to that of the panic of 1907, when banks were in massive need of liquidity and a huge part of …

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Ep. 5: Principles of Investment Diversification

0:15 – What will we talk about in this episode? 1:15 – Overview of the presentation of the EKIP Virtual Pension Fund 8:30 – Questions and answers (feedback) from the audience 21:30 – Financial and investment news from Bulgaria 48:55 – Macro and Markets (international news) 60:25 – Fintech news 68:50 – Basic …

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