How will the political crisis be resolved?

It is increasingly clear that the conflict that led to the beginning of the current phase of the political cycle [1] is fading away, far from the focus of public attention. Removing Borisov is no longer a priority, and the coalition assembled for this purpose has disintegrated.

The glue Borisov, as I have called him, is becoming less and less relevant because of (i) his ritual sacrifice (ala Girard) through the farcical one-day arrest and because of (ii) the emerging imperative of the new realignment. We should have no doubt that the issue of Gazprom, being part of the issue of Ukraine, which in turn is part of the question of how far our sovereignty extends in relation to our Euro-Atlantic partners – is in fact another concretized conflict along the new dividing line, determining the political realignment.

The very nature of the ideological dispute shows a placing of economic argumentation in second place, to the concern for value and identity considerations. Even if Gazprom's energy is cheaper, we must refuse it, because it finances the bloodshed of a barbaric regime. You give money to Gazprom, so you finance Putin.

No matter how much balancing acts like "they changed the contract and we are very angry" are tried, they will hardly pass a more serious factual inspection. As Andrey Raichev said - are we really going to be more Catholic than the Pope, the whole of Europe is paying according to the Russian scheme. For the Muscovites, there is no other option, after sequestering the reserves of their central bank - one of the few working sanctions weapons.

This replacement of “economy” with “identity” is at the core of the ongoing political realignment. In this case, it is being carried out by the globalist side, but the anti-globalist side also had a request for something similar in the wake of the now-deceased scandal with Lidl and the masks. Well-stocked supermarkets have become a cornucopia of convenience and convenience for small towns, where a significant part of the Ganiov political energy is concentrated. Economically, the political conflict with them makes no sense for the Ganiovites themselves. At the same time, when the chain forcibly imports globalist norms (the masks) into anti-globalist territory – identity is defended, even at an economic cost.

We are ready to stand in the cold so that Putin will fall. We are ready to chase Lidl so that our masks will not be torn. [2] In both cases, the economic interest remains secondary. There is a new primary axis of political division.

Either way, even a weakened glue is unpleasant to hold. Obviously, Boyko Borisov and Kiril Petkov are raising the degree of tension between them. On this side of the divide, blood will have to be shed – not all parties in parliament can align themselves with the same place in the ideological spectrum. The battle for the juicy bone will be especially tough – the position of a moderately globalist party, exactly where the interests of the PP and GERB collide. The party that will sit on a feather cushion and be closest to the ambassador of key snacks. The moderately globalist party chooses the prime minister who will take a picture with Zelensky. Priceless.

While the ATOs are kicking themselves, without even realizing it, as luck would have it, Democratic Bulgaria has found itself in the natural part of the new division for them – that of the extreme Euro-Atlantic-globalists. Due to the zero political competence in the ranks of the DB, the fall has not yet been realized. They have not realized that it is long past time to say something about the elephant in the room – how against Gazprom, but with Lukoil, Asene.

Also, it is high time they took advantage of the PP’s looping on the gas issue… and took a radical stance against the Russian monopolist. Raichev even told them so on TV – to attack the Kirchists “from the right”. [3] An attack of this kind is not very difficult after someone advised the PP that they should be centrists for the elections, and Assen publicly turned the tables on Gazprom. However, they are waiting for the DB darlings to form a coalition, and they are holding out.

Waiting is actually waiting for things to sort themselves out. They are waiting as if a fat grant will come. For a large Euro-Atlantic coalition to happen, but one that can dominate for a while. Let Putler fight, with the votes of GERB (but without BB) is the dream formula.

And there, in fact, is buried the first opportunity to at least temporarily halt what is perceived as a political crisis, but is actually a phase of the ten-year rearrangement. Through a relatively stable government, created along the new dividing axis. A coalition not against Borisov (especially if he himself is in it), but against the enemies of the country's Euro-Atlantic choice.

A government formed along the new dividing axis will be sustainable only after the battle between the globalist formations reaches a resolution or, on the other (less likely) side, enough anti-globalist formations manage to enter Parliament and form a coalition. In general, "normality" in the political process will return when the new division is stable along at least one axis of the division.

Formats created according to a different logic will be like eagle, crab, and pike.

[1] You can read more about the rearrangement in our other publications – HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE.

[2] The parallel with the Save Sofia campaign against Kaufland's project for the Sofia Malls is interesting. Mirror behavior on the new axis. Both soy and fried food have demands on the supermarket. It is the temple, and there is always an argument about it.

[3] According to the old division

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